Friday, September 17, 2004

The Grim Reality of the War in Iraq

The following calendar tracks Americans lost in Iraq. Some quick numbers:

Worst month: April 2004 - 129 dead
Data sample: 18 months
Total in sample: 1060 dead
Total Average: 1060 /18 = 58.8

2003 Sample: 508
Average in 2003: 508 / 9 (data only started in March) = 56.4

2004 sample: 552
Average for 2004: 61.3
Expected number of lost troops in 2004 if tracking to yearly average: 735.9

September 2004: 48 dead as of September 17
Expected number of lost troops in September 2004 (if rate doesn't change): 84.7
Expected number of lost troops in 2004 if tracking to monthly average: 842.8
Current monthly trend: Above average

Things look grim but such is the cost of war. Please remain respectful to our troops and ensure they are getting proper support.

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